Memory Cache: 2009年2月1日

2009年2月1日星期日

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Reuters: 香港市场报道

Strike by 24,000 refinery workers averted, for now, as both sides agree to extend negotiations

By Associated Press
1:53 AM EST, February 1, 2009
HOUSTON (AP) — A strike by some 24,000 refinery workers was averted, at least for now, as both sides agreed to extend negotiations for at least 24 hours.Workers at refineries near New Orleans, Houston and as far away as Billings, Mont., will show up for scheduled shifts Monday, though negotiators will be back at the table on Sunday."We have made progress in that there was no strike at midnight," said Lynne Baker, a spokeswoman for the United Steelworkers, which represents more than 30,000 oil workers nationwide. "But there are still issues that need to be worked out and notice of a strike could be given at any time if that progress stalls."The union agreed to a rolling 24-hour extension, which allows the union to give the required one-day notice to strike.
The nation's biggest refiner, Valero Energy Corp., said it would shut down some facilities if workers walk out. So did European oil company BP PLC.Shell Oil Co., the lead negotiator for the industry, along with Exxon Mobil Corp., said its refineries would continue to make gasoline, diesel and other fuels using nonunion or replacement workers.Chemical refiners would also be affected. LyondellBassell Industries said it was bringing in managers from locations not involved in contract negotiations to keep refineries going.A strike would affect 60 producers, Baker said.Thursday, union negotiators turned down the most recent offer of a 2.5 percent wage increase for each of the next three years, in addition to changes in medical coverage.The impasse comes with refiners already cutting back production and industry experts are divided over whether a strike would hit the pocketbooks of motorists.Job numbers are in free fall, which has led to unprecedented declines in miles driven by Americans.Motorists cut their driving by 12.9 billion miles in November, down 5.3 percent from the same month a year earlier, the largest such decline of any November since monthly data estimates began in 1971, the Federal Highway Administration said this month.On the surface, that suggests retail gasoline prices should be falling, but refiners are reading the same headlines and have aggressively cut back production.Refiner cutbacks and the threat of a strike pushed gasoline futures up throughout the week on the New York Mercantile Exchange.Friday, gasoline futures rose nearly 4 cents to $1.27 per gallon. When gasoline futures rise, retail prices tend to follow. The national average for a gallon of gasoline hit $1.846 on Friday. While that's still $1.14 less than last year at this time, gas is getting closer to $2 a gallon just a month after bottoming out at $1.61.With refiners turning away oil shipments, crude storage levels have risen by about 20 million barrels in the past month, according to the U.S. Department of Energy.Antoine Halff, an analyst with Newedge Group, said workers may actually be doing the industry a favor by going on strike with demand for gasoline so low.Many of the refineries are on the Gulf Coast, near Houston and New Orleans. There are about 4,000 refinery workers in Houston alone. But the strike would reach into states like California and Tennessee, which also have refineries with labor contracts expiring.Valero told employees Friday that it would close its facilities in Delaware City, Del., and Memphis, Tenn., if there is a strike.The company said it would keep its Port Arthur, Texas, plant open with a contingency work force that is being trained."We would rather reach an agreement without a work stoppage at all," said spokesman Bill Day.Exxon Mobil said plants would remain operational until a collective bargaining agreement was reached.

Wall St face moment of truth over pay, perks

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Wall St face moment of truth over pay, perks
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By Jonathan Spicer and Dan Wilchins - Analysis, Reuters February 1, 2009 - 12:00 a.m. EST
NEW YORK (Reuters) - This may be the week that Wall Street finally realized a golden era of prestige, high pay and perks has ended.
Many bankers felt they could hunker down through the economic crisis without transforming their behavior.
But then this week new U.S. President Barack Obama made it clear their attitudes and compensation have to change at a time when they are being bailed out with many billions of dollars of taxpayers' money and the rest of the country is suffering from mass layoffs and declining retirement accounts.
"That is the height of irresponsibility. It is shameful," Obama said on Thursday, responding to news that Wall Street paid out $18.4 billion in bonuses for 2008.
In the previous few days, Obama and his spokesman had weighed in against Citigroup's decision to buy a $50 million corporate jet ordered in 2005, prompting the bank to cancel the contract, and attacked former Merrill Lynch CEO John Thain for spending $1.2 million on renovating his office.
One Democratic senator on Friday even proposed a law that would prevent bank executives from making more than $400,000 a year while they receive government financial support.
Add it all up, and Wall Street has little choice but to make changes big and small, veteran bankers and compensation experts said.
"You'd better scrutinize executive lunch rooms, you'd better scrutinize your offices, you'd better scrutinize those fresh flowers and car services and jets," said Alan Johnson, a leading compensation consultant.
With shrinking bonuses and perquisites comes less prestige, said Steve Persky, portfolio manager at Dalton Investments in Los Angeles.
"The heyday of working on the sellside is over," Persky said.
Some on Wall Street bridle at having to rein in their spending habits, but some are philosophical.
"As long as the government is putting money into these organizations, they have a right to that voice," said Alan Greenberg, former Chairman of Bear Stearns Cos., which had to be rescued by JPMorgan Chase & Co. with the help of the government last March.
Gary Goldstein, president and CEO of Whitney Partners, an executive search group specializing in financial services, said changing the way compensation is distributed will be a change for the good.
"It has become very corrupt," Goldstein said. "I've watched it over the years and everyone was taking their piece of the pie ... and not paying attention to the end game, which is the little guy who ends up with all of these securities on their retirement accounts."
Bonuses at big banks could slide a lot further, and they won't come back to recent heights anytime soon, experts warned.
Johnson forecast a 15 percent to 20 percent drop in bonuses at the world's biggest financial firms this year, following a 45 percent decline in 2008.
"Any amount is too much," Johnson said of bonuses. "If you think it's bad now, it's going to be worse in '09."
Bonuses were excessive in recent years because factors like deregulation created outsized opportunities, an academic study published last month showed.
The study, by New York University Professor Thomas Philippon and University of Virginia Professor Ariell Reshef, found that 30-50 percent of the extra pay Wall Street employees got relative to the rest of the private sector over the last decade could be termed excess pay, or pay not justified by factors like education or technology.
There was a similar spike in relative pay just before the Great Depression in the 1930s, and financial sector compensation took many years to recover once it plummeted.
"The spike has passed, and people on Wall Street will be treated more like everybody else," said Roy Smith, finance professor at New York University and a former partner at Goldman Sachs.
Not every Wall Street employee will stand for it. Many will try to find jobs at smaller firms, which are not receiving support from the government and therefore do not have to limit pay.
But many will have to leave the industry altogether, said Robert Sedgwick, a lawyer at Morrison Cohen LLP in New York who negotiates executive pay packages.
"There are not nearly enough smaller places to go," Robert Sedgwick.
Some do think that once financial markets recover, bonuses will start to recover, albeit to levels lower than those seen earlier this decade.
"Wall Street will still pay big bonuses, because that's how they're set up -- they have low overhead and they offer a large incentive in compensation," said John Gutfreund, who was chief executive of Salomon Brothers in the 1980s, when the bank mushroomed.
But for now, with lower pay on Wall Street, the joy of working at a large firm has passed, Morrison Cohen's Sedgwick said.
"What are jobs about? They're about having fun and making money," Sedgwick said. "But at the big firms, both are being substantially reduced."
(Reporting by Jonathan Spicer and Dan Wilchins; Editing by Bernard Orr)

AIG in Talks With U.S. On Guarantees: Report

http://www.cnbc.com/id/28951926

AIG in Talks With U.S. On Guarantees: Report
Topics:TARP Stock Market Corporate News
Companies:Citigroup Inc Bank of America Corp American International Group Inc Companies
By: Reuters 31 Jan 2009 05:53 PM ET
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American International Group the insurer rescued from collapse by the government in September, is in discussions with Washington about a federal backstop for some of its assets, The Wall Street Journal reported Saturday.
AIG
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is also considering selling units through public offerings, the newspaper reported, citing an interview with AIG Vice Chairman Paula Reynolds.
"We're looking at a broader array of recapitalization options," Reynolds said.
"We both realize that the environment's changing and we have to adjust to that environment," she said, referring to the federal government.
Backstopping the insurer's assets would be similar to guarantees the government provided for assets belonging to Citigroup
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and Bank of America
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, the Journal reported.
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"We are consulting closely with the U.S. government in conjunction with our restructuring," AIG spokeswoman Christina Pretto told Reuters.
Officials at the Treasury Department and Federal Reserve did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
The government rescued AIG in September with a loan from the Federal Reserve, as the insurer faced

CNN: get ready for more pain

CNN: get ready for more pain

Get ready for more pain ahead

Forget about the credit crunch and falling house prices. The job market is the biggest economic problem -- and it's likely to get worse before it gets better.By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney.com senior writer
Last Updated: January 9, 2009: 3:43 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- There is no longer any doubt about the biggest problem facing the economy: the job market.

Economists believe the recession is likely to get worse until the spiraling job losses and unemployment rate start to improve.

Record low mortgage rates won't lead to higher home values and increased home sales as long as 500,000 people a month are losing their jobs.

Rising unemployment will probably make banks even less willing to lend and also lead to increased defaults on a large range of existing loans.

And with more consumers losing, or worried about losing, their jobs, that should lead to a further pullback in spending. In turn, that will make it tougher for companies to increase their profits, which could lead to even more stock market losses.

If all that weren't bad enough, economists worry that that this will put more pressure on employers to lay off even more workers -- prompting the proverbial vicious circle that can make it so hard to get out of a bad economic downturn.

"That's behind the difficulty in seeing a sustainable recovery ahead," said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute.

With that in mind, there's a very good chance that there could be more months ahead where the economy sheds more than 500,000 jobs.

"When you have an economy in a free-fall, you have to expect job losses of this magnitude," said Rich Yamarone, director of economic research at Argus Research. "The really bad news is that there's no reason to expect this trend to reverse."

Even the people who have jobs are suffering. According to a recent survey by the Society for Human Resource Management, more companies are reporting that they are cutting pay of their employees in response to the difficult environment.

In addition, the average work week has been falling steadily during the past four months. A record 8 million workers that want full-time employment have only been able to get part-time jobs, according to the government's December labor report. That's up 37% from the total of so-called underemployed workers in August.

Pay hikes will be at best modest this year for many employees lucky enough to get increases. A survey by consultant Hewitt Associates found raises will be less than 3% for the first time in the study's 32-year history.

State and local governments are also making tough choices because of the recession, with many reporting big cutbacks in services and suggesting new taxes that could further hurt cash-strapped consumers.

Currently, 43 states have an estimated combined budget deficit of about $100 billion. With many states required by law to balance their budgets, those governments are looking at everything from reduced garbage collection and shortened school years to new taxes on everything from soda to music downloads.

And it could get worse before it gets better for states and local governments. Some retail experts expect a record number of stores to close this year, with thousands of closings beyond those already announced. Vacant storefronts and dead malls can further depress a community's property values and tax collections.

That's why some think that the only way out of the recession is to firmly address the issue of rising unemployment. Tig Gilliam, chief executive of Adecco Group North America, a unit of the world's largest employment firm, said many of his clients tell him they're preparing to make additional job cuts.

Gilliam added that it's not the credit crunch that is causing them to cut back, but the reduced sales due to weak consumer demand, which has largely been driven by job losses and job worries.

"It's not a housing problem. It's not a financial services problem. It's spread across the landscape," Gilliam said. "And it's a lack of confidence of the 92.8% of people who are employed."

Are you unemployed and using unconventional methods to find work? Tell us about it, and you could be included in an upcoming story.

First Published: January 9, 2009: 12:44 PM ET

Market Recall 2008-3

2009 (102)
▼ January (102)
Life after a six-figure salary
2009: Nowhere to go but up
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'09 growth outlook cut
2008-Loss of Confidence and 2009 will be Loss of H...
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An Experience with an Unscrupulous Recruitment Fir...
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Prepared for the worst
Search: Finger length may predict financial succes...
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Bush: I lost money too
German economy 'collapsed in late 2008, worse on t...
5 Steps to Set Up a Retirement ETF Portfolio
Barclays layoffs to hit home
Desperate times
Credit market starts to thaw
Going to extremes to land a job
Google to cut 100 recruiters
JPMorgan: Worst still to come
Nomura launches 8 new funds
More SMEs delay payment
Aussie jobless rate at 4.5%
Buyers, sellers at impasse
Fresh wave of financial crisis
NZ economy faces stagnation
Gear up for more crime
SIA cutting 214 flights
'Freeze pay, save jobs'
Google to cut jobs, close office
US downturn may end late '09
'Horrible' year ahead: Airbus
HK's CE warns of layoffs
Deloitte: Record Pessimism in Global CFOs, High Fu...
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Fireproof your job
Good post by Conrad Alvin Lim
S'pore's jobless to rise
Deep recession for Germany
More firms closing down
Oil rigs hit by crisis
Australia slips into recession
HK economy to shrink: Tsang
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Cut in top govt pay
Jobless may hit 300,000
KPMG to cut salaries of middle to top management s...
More than 550,000 in China laid off by credit cris...
How to identity a bubble
Financial Planner says market will rise again...
Singapore in a sling
Sharp slowdown in China
Asia's economies reeling
A Letter to the new president from Paul Krugman. W...
Recession inevitable
India growth to slow
Steep fall in home prices
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Singapore's Limits
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'Axe foreigners first'
Banks were close to collapse
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The Collapse of Capitalism and the Safety Net of G...
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China warns of economic distress and long-term ill...
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Over 90,000 jobs lost
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51m jobs may go
Wen, Putin lash out at US
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Market Recall 2008-2

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Courtesy of Dennis Ng I observed that markets typ...
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Is Obama Dragging Down Stock Prices?
Will the stock market get worse?
Investors await signs of 'capitulation'
Why Are Oil Prices Rising?
India's Economy Hits the Wall
Asia's exporters suffering as global demand weaken...
'This financial crisis is far from over'
Stocks: More Doldrums Ahead
Subprime fallout could last two years: Singapore b...
Credit, housing concerns wipe $1.3 trillion from S...
Guard against a second round of inflation: Tharman...
JPMorgan's Dimon says credit crisis could worJPMor...
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Why This Housing Bust Is Worst Ever: The American ...
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Analysts Say More Banks Will Fail
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Running Money
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HK bargain hunters turn to bulk buying to beat inf...
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Financial Crisis Is Expected To Bring More Big Sho...
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Reuter:Large U.S. bank collapse seen ahead
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Jim Rogers Exclusive: Bigger Financial Shocks Loom...
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Investors Chase Phantoms
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Bush points to signs that economy is on upswing
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Fear grips markets
US jobless rate jumps to 6.1%
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S'pore corporate results are the next casualties
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US financial system 'sound'
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ADB cuts Asia growth forecast
HP to cut 24,600 jobs
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受金融风暴影响香港楼价下跌成交减少
A lot of humility will return
Bank failures will rise
Gloom engulfs corporate India
Deflation may be next threat
Asian firm workers better off
How Wall Street's Meltdown Will Affect Your Career...
As Global Markets Plunge, How Bad Can Crisis Get?
Hard times for lux gds industry
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IMF sees major downturn
Airlines may not survive crisis
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Japan Machinery Orders Dive as Recession Looms.
The Korean Banks in trouble.
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Goldman to cut 3,260 jobs
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United we stand
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Act 5: Final stage of crisis
US in 'serious recession'
S'pore's growth to fall 2%
Asia faces sharp slowdown
China slowdown fuels fears
Britain likely in recession
S$ to weaken against US$
Financial storm hits home
Singaporean and laid off on Wall Street
Mass lay-offs come to Asia: DBS cuts 900 jobs
Higher-end HDB mkt cooling?
DBS starts to axe staff
Economic group says developed world in recession
financial crisis on China 'worse than expected':We...
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COE for small cars drops to historic low of S$2
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HK developers in denial
Point of no return
Britain in for long recession
Canada is in recession
When a depression is depressing
The secret to staying cool in this market
The secret to creating the right mix
The secret to saving more money
The secret making your money last
The secret to avoiding a high tax bill
The secret to balancing goals
The New Rules for Investing Your Money
Condo-style losing allure
In five minutes, his life changed
China economy slowing
Fashion sector fears crisis
HSBC exposed to ponzi scam
Growth may fall below 2.5%
Economic crisis batters Europe
582,000 Canadian jobs at risk
Nov key exports fall 17.5%
Grim '09 for venture capitalists
The storm ahead
Singapore economy worsens
'Worldwide problem' in '09
look at how the news headlines has changed from la...
Singapore says 10,000 homes bought via deferred pa...
Global economy seen sinking into 'severe' 2009 rec...
After 30 Years, Economic Perils on China’s Path
Bleak outlook for construction
US economy shrinks as IMF warns of Great Depressio...
UAE may see massive layoffs
China sees challenges ahead
What to Do When Layoffs Loom
How to Invest in 2009
No quick fix for mkt woes
The Worst Predictions About 2008
10 Predictions for 2009
Bernard Madoff

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